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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this fight with a lot of advantages over the much smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya which will give him a significant advantage. He has a much more diverse arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong choice against Kelvin, that will have to stay volatile to have any hope closing the striking distance. Defensively Adesanya is solid, rolling with punches and never over committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He is a slow starter but ends up the volume when he’s a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing mixtures and has used this to evaluate some impressive finishes. The quality of Kelvin’s opposition is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after getting caught by his superior cardio or speed. Gastelum has a wrestling background but hasn’t made a focal point of his UFC run. In this battle the dimensions and takedown defense of Adesanya must mean this remains standing. Kelvin has restricted paths to success beyond landing a flush KO shooter and awarded the advantage and defense of Adesanya this does seem improbable.
Since moving up to Middleweight Gastelum has was remarkable despite his height and reach. Weidman showed us that dimension may be a big element in which the elderly fighters of this branch were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya should have the ability to control this battle to stay standing, where he is going to be able to design on Gastelum from range. Round you can be shut but beyond that it’s going to be just one way traffic. A late end or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These guys clash in what should be a very competitive struggle. Both guys favour their striking with Holloway’s volume fashion taking on Poirier’s technical fundamentals combined with astonishing power. The public appear to be over Holloway following his remarkable Ortega win and the bookie has him lined a significant favorite. While his boxing and boxing is unmatched at 145lb, it might be another story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with considerably more energy than anything Max might have undergone lately. If there was a weakness Holloway’s match it’s that he takes too many clean shots, and there’s absolutely no reason a clear one from Poirier can not finish the fight.
This battle is likely to start off in Poirier’s favour as he lands the impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will have to endure until the subsequent rounds in an effort to conquer Poirier with his pace and cardio. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely tough to put away himself. We view this as an early stoppage to get Poirier or near decision led to the judges. The center rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. At +180 the value is clear, back the dangerous fighter who has firmly established himself on top of the toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier at 2.80 (+180) odds. Risk 4 Units to acquire 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both fast and powerful, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is his gasoline tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots early. Additionally his grappling and wrestling is below average. Rountree is coming off a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is very durable and has a basic but harmful striking style himself. The key to success will be his exceptional pressure as he could blend in takedowns to put on Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the ranks compared to Anders who lately had aggressive match with the name challenger Santos. Look for him to endure a few early scares to then implement his wrestling and take over the struggle past round one.
Bet = Anders in 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with far more expertise but also a 5??? attain disadvantage. Grant is 34 years old and improbable to make huge strides in his entire game. He does not appear very striking with sloppy method but does have large power to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is an issue but overall he is the far superior fighter. Look for him to bring a wise game-plan for this one and utilize his arsenal to out strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a decision is also probably. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at only 24 years of age has been winning against inferior opposition on the regional scene. He looks to be getting a lot of admiration from the chances makers, possibly due to his Russian background. This is a large step up against Max Griffin who’s a demanding UFC veteran. He brings solid boxing and power and can blend in the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is certainly his durability, as he has rocked in most fights, but he’s a fighters mentality for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to box up the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog chances we enjoy a wager on the more proven fighter.

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