View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 decades of age, Burgos is coming into his prime as he chooses on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a significant reach advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a much bigger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is more specialized with sharp mixes and dangerous power. He’s a fantastic camp but his main weakness appears to be shield, where he’s left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in several recent conflicts.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and crazy fighter and his style looks to fight against more specialized competition. He is on a substantial losing streak where he’s appeared vulnerable and flat in every fight. It seems Cub is really on a a downturn that’s not surprising given his era in a branch where speed is king. It must be noted that many of Cub’s losses have begun to high 10 resistance, but it is his lack of competitiveness which raise a red flag.
This fight ought to be entertaining with both guys willing to stand and trade. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances that this could be a close battle, but we expect to see a falling veteran who can’t keep up with the more technical young talent. Back Burgos to get the win , likely from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking about the relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has considerably better striking than his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he has not shown the best initial takedown defense but he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and make scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to contact his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, largely throwing his hand to set up degree fluctuations. He averages an absurd quantity of takedown attempts each struggle, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it’s possible Dvalishvili does property takedowns but Katona has lots of skills to avoid getting stuck on his spine. More time on the feet for Katona means he will maintain control, landing hurt and amassing rounds. This should be a close battle where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming to this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he is fighting up a branch his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a substantial advantage in all areas of the battle. On the toes he’s defensively noise and fights long using his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the distance. Prepolec likes to get in close but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he should be receptive to counters in Taleb. Size are also a large factor where Prepolec has shown a tendency to get out muscled from the grappling department by far smaller and not as gifted fighters compared to Taleb. This is probably his safest path to victory where he probably dominates to establish a finish. On short notice introduction there are just too many obstacles to overcome and whilst the chances are short, this seems to be an easy win.
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